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On the driver-side of the matter, today at 2PM ET brings FOMC meeting minutes from the January rate decision, which is when the Dollar sparked a topside run that lasted all the way into last week. Do you want to see how retail traders are currently trading the US Dollar? The US Dollar pullback continues into mid-week as the US currency has re-engaged with support at a key Fibonacci level. The price of Mester opined that balance sheet reduction could be slowed this year, an indication of potentially even less tightening in monetary policy.
When Mr. But as risk aversion roared in Q4, the Fed started to slow that hawkish verbiage until, eventually, the bank was ready to put rate hikes on hold in This theme comes to light later this afternoon upon the release of FOMC meeting minutes from the January rate decision. The US Dollar embarked on a stern topside run after that meeting, rallying all the way into last week, at which point a range began to build near highs.
Yesterday brought a notable backing-down of the bulls after Ms. The next area of interest on the support side of the matter is Chart prepared by James Stanley. On the final trading day of January, a flicker of hope showed in the Euro. Support has continued to show from 1. Since then, prices in the pair have showed evidence of trying to bottom, with a bit of an assist from the 1. The big question is whether this can hold, and whether the longer-term range continues; or, perhaps, will bears be aggressive enough to finally re-engage with the 1.
That bullish breakout from last week ran into resistance from a Fibonacci level at 1. Since, sellers have been able to hold the highs while making a push-lower on the charts. The big question at this point is whether they can continue driving below 1. This is indication of an even weaker Yen, coming in stark contrast to the surge of strength that the currency exhibited to start this year. Last week saw prices pull back to But for longer-term themes, there may be a more enticing area of support potential around that prior zone of resistance, running from Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.
DailyFX offers a plethora of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Contact and follow James on Twitter: The policy statement and press conference unveiled after that gathering marked a notable dovish shift in official rhetoric, endorsing the late drop in priced-in rate hike bets. Markets expected two hikes as of November.
By the turn of the year they foresaw none. A darkening outlook for global growth seemed to be the culprit behind this adjustment. Interestingly, the US Dollar held firm as rates-based support unraveled, underpinned by safety-seeking capital flows. With traders now seemingly convinced that rate hikes are off the menu through , there might be relatively little room for further dovish re-pricing to weigh on the Greenback. The average price of milk powder fell for the first time in three months at auction, which may have helped drive selling.
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Just getting started trading the Australian Dollar? This sapped the appeal of haven-linked assets such as the Greenback and the anti-risk Japanese Yen. These include slowing global growth and the US-China trade war. However, there remained optimism about domestic economic conditions: Many Fed officials noted that they were unsure about what rate moves may be needed this year with some noting that further hikes could be appropriate. This may have been the cause of gains in USD as local front-end government bond yields rallied. Any signs of a possibility of a hike this year run counter to what the markets are anticipating.
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